What the Fed’s Unexpected Rate Hike Means For CRE Investors
Fed Takes Aggressive Action to Combat Inflation
- Fed announced 75 bps hike; previously suggested 50 bps
- Lenders may pass a larger rate to buyers and bake-in another 75 bps increase in July
- Four more rate hikes are expected in 2022
Housing Market Already Feeling the Impact
- Average mortgage rates jumped up nearly 50 bps last week to 5.78%
- Will decrease number of households that can qualify for mortgages
- Lifts demand for already tight Apartment market; Could translate to greater rent growth pressure
Will Higher Rates Impact CRE Transactions?
- Some buyers that are dependent on financing may tap out, but enough competition expected to remain
- Strong rent growth could outweigh higher cost of capital for certain property types and markets
*As of June 16, 2022
Sources: Marcus & Millichap Research Services, Federal Reserve
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